INFLASI KELOMPOK BAHAN MAKANAN DENGAN METODE BOX-JENKINS: Kasus Indonesia, 2006:1 – 2009:8
ABSTRACT: The primary task of
central banks is to keep low and stable rates of inflation. Economic agents,
either private or public, always monitor closely the movement of prices in the
economy, in order to make decisions that allow them to optimize the use of
their resources. So, it is very important to forecast inflation. The objective
of this study is to make a forecast model for inflation on raw materials
of foods in Indonesia with Box-Jeknins
methods. This study use data monthly inflation on raw materials of foods from January,
2006 to August, 2009. The result indicate that data monthly inflation on raw
materials of foods in that period is stationer with the best model for
forecasting is ARIMA (2,0,2).
Keywords: Inflations, Raw
Materials of Foods, Box-Jenkins
Penulis: Algifari
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd090078
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