PENGARUH KARAKTERISTIK PEMBUATJUDGMENT DALAM PREDIKSI FAILURE PERUSAHAAN
ABSTRACT: Besides cues,
judgment in failure prediction also involves predictor’s characteristics.
Predictor’s characteristics, such as expertise, experience, gender, age, education,
have role in predictor’s judgment. Hence, the differences of the predictor’s
characteristics cause differences of factors that influence in processing the information.
This research uses expert and novice as proxies of the predictor’s
characteristics. The prediction of failure has been done using forty-seven
undergraduate students as novices and ninety-two graduate students as experts. The
result shows that in expert level, the predictor’s characteristics have role in
the judgment of prediction than novice. However, the accuracy of pre-diction in
both level are found to be similar. The result also shows there are differences
of factors that lead in error type I and II in the judgment of the failure
prediction.
Keywords: predictor’s characteristics, prediction of
failure, accurate and inaccurate prediction, expert and novice, type I and type
II errors
Penulis: Yavida Nurim
Kode Jurnal: jpmanajemendd060052
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