ANALISIS MODEL KEBUTUHAN PERGERAKAN PENUMPANG DAN BARANG BANDARA RAHADI OESMAN KETAPANG

Abstract: Airport  of  Rahadi  Oesman  in  Kabupaten  Ketapang  Kalimantan  Barat  represent  the  main  and important gate for air transport in Kabupaten Ketapang, where this airport own the strategic role in service  activities  of  this  transportation  even  for  domestic  transportation  or  regional.  Activity  in Airport  of  Rahadi  Oesman  in  a  few  this  the  last  year  has  growth  so  fast  growth,  so  that  felt  the infrastructure  and  also  available  facility  in  this  time  have  is  not  adequate  again  to  support  the growth rate of air traffic in this airport. In the plan development of facility of air side and also land side  of  the  airport  require  to  be  conducted  an  analysis  model  of  trip  generation  or  attraction  of passenger and goods. These models need for the prediction of mount the growth of passenger and goods/cargo and estimate the amount of passenger and aircraft movement in the future pursuant to aircraft  characteristic  that  to  be  used.  The  models  used  for  prediction  of  passenger  and  goods  in this  study  are  Trend  Analysis  Models  consisted  of  linear  regression  trend  method,  exponential regression  trend  method,  and  polynomial  regression  trend  method.  Besides  model  of  trend analysis, in this study also analyzed Market Share Model. Result from third model then compared to one another to obtain the most appropriate model. Pursuant to analyses result obtained that the best or most appropriate model is Model of Trend Analysis. Model for  the attraction passenger is  Y  =  –21,18X2  +  6181X  +  5788  by  R2  =  0,922.  Model  for  the  generation  passenger  is  Y  =  –128,3X2  +  7515X  +  4965  by  R2  =  0,907.  Model  for  the  passenger  of  transit  is  Y = 795X2 + 561X + 3361 by R2 = 1, and Model for the cargo movement is Y = 2468X2 + 41054X – 28341 by R2 = 0,918.
Keywords:  trip generation and attraction models, trend analysis, market share
Penulis: Elsa Trimukti
Kode Jurnal: jptsipildd100064

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