RANCANG BANGUN MODEL DAMPAK PERUBAHAN PENGGUNAAN LAHAN DALAM PEMBANGUNAN HTI PULP
ABSTRACT: This research
aim to establish
a land use
change model purposed
to figure a
spatial ecological
equilibrium out from
the land used
activities. The analyzing
of these land
use change impacts were adopted
from modeling methods, based from system thinking approach. Although the analytical constructions
dominated by social
sciences, all methodologies
were drawn from
more than one field
of discipline to
analyze the nature-society-economy relationships. These interdisciplinary orientation combining
concepts has some advantages in recognizing most complex variables in the real
world than another functional approaches. The model has verified to validate in
villages around the
HTI concession area
of Jambi Province
which is managed
by PT Wirakarya Sakti (WKS), and resulted some behavior patterns of land use
changed that showed in descriptions as
a whole. At
last, sensitivity analysis
of this model
- like a
game - has developed the “what if” input variables
to predict situation
of the future,
and has resulted
some options of
scenario as decision support to
the policy system framework.
Keywords: Ecologycal
equilibrium, HTI pulp concession area, land use change, modeling, system
thinking approach, decision support system, Jambi
Penulis: DONNY ISKANDAR; HADI
S ALIKODRA, HARTRISARI H HARDJOMIDJOJO dan BAMBANG PRAMUDYA N
Kode Jurnal: jpkehutanandd060042
