PENGEMBANGAN MODEL SIMULASI INTEGRASI BIAYA DAN JADWAL PROYEK KONSTRUKSI DI BAWAH KETIDAKPASTIAN
Abstract: Construction project
has level of higher level risk and uncertainty compared to with
manufactureindustry. The perpetrators project of construction must be able to
assess all changes in weather,material, politics, performance of labour and
others as factors considered as risk and uncertainty indecision making.
Quantification and minimalizeds risk which caused by postponement
inconstruction industry is a challenge to be developed. Impact losing of float
activity non stall is oneof postponement which difficult to be assessed either
at duration project and also expense ofproject. This is fact where approach in
deterministic, cannot calculate postponement impact ofactivity non stall.
According To CPM, delays activity non stall during doesn't go beyond
its(thefloat total hence doesn't have an effect on to duration of project
total. While Ahuja et al ( 1994)exemplifies interesting that delay of activity
non-kritis also results contractor to experiencefinancial loss. As a whole,
identifies time in accurate figure and prospective in constructionindustry
difficult to be done, even calculates level of risk at level of activity also
difficult to bedone. This thesis discuss modelling of integration of risk
expense and schedule project ofconstruction in simulatif, postponement impact
or consumption float activity non-kritis to expenseand duration of project
total, although the postponement didn't exceed threshold time owned anddelay
risk of project of construction if(when exalation risk expense of limited and
conversely, riskincrease of expense of project of construction if(when delay
risk of project of limited. MultipleSimulation Analysis Technique ( MSAT) (
Isidore and Back 2002) applied at this thesis for mengenerateexpense of project
which realible and duration at different value from value losing offloat ( time
floated) at activity with Monte Carlo technique Simulation ( MCS)
implementation at@ Risk applied for men-generate duration and cost. Result of
modelling of implication thatdelaying activity non stall influential to
duration of total project of as well as will result theincreasing of total cost
overall of project.
Penulis: Deni Setiawan, Ronald
Simatupang
Kode Jurnal: jptsipildd100157
