PENGEMBANGAN MODEL SIMULASI INTEGRASI BIAYA DAN JADWAL PROYEK KONSTRUKSI DI BAWAH KETIDAKPASTIAN

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Abstract: Construction project has level of higher level risk and uncertainty compared to with manufactureindustry. The perpetrators project of construction must be able to assess all changes in weather,material, politics, performance of labour and others as factors considered as risk and uncertainty indecision making. Quantification and minimalizeds risk which caused by postponement inconstruction industry is a challenge to be developed. Impact losing of float activity non stall is oneof postponement which difficult to be assessed either at duration project and also expense ofproject. This is fact where approach in deterministic, cannot calculate postponement impact ofactivity non stall. According To CPM, delays activity non stall during doesn't go beyond its(thefloat total hence doesn't have an effect on to duration of project total. While Ahuja et al ( 1994)exemplifies interesting that delay of activity non-kritis also results contractor to experiencefinancial loss. As a whole, identifies time in accurate figure and prospective in constructionindustry difficult to be done, even calculates level of risk at level of activity also difficult to bedone. This thesis discuss modelling of integration of risk expense and schedule project ofconstruction in simulatif, postponement impact or consumption float activity non-kritis to expenseand duration of project total, although the postponement didn't exceed threshold time owned anddelay risk of project of construction if(when exalation risk expense of limited and conversely, riskincrease of expense of project of construction if(when delay risk of project of limited. MultipleSimulation Analysis Technique ( MSAT) ( Isidore and Back 2002) applied at this thesis for mengenerateexpense of project which realible and duration at different value from value losing offloat ( time floated) at activity with Monte Carlo technique Simulation ( MCS) implementation at@ Risk applied for men-generate duration and cost. Result of modelling of implication thatdelaying activity non stall influential to duration of total project of as well as will result theincreasing of total cost overall of project.
Keyword: MSAT,delay, Simulation Monte Carlo
Penulis: Deni Setiawan, Ronald Simatupang
Kode Jurnal: jptsipildd100157

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Jp Teknik Sipil dd 2010