Perkiraan Pasokan Daya Sistem Jawa-Madura-Bali Sampai Tahun 2016 Berdasarkan Indeks Lolp Satu Hari Per Tahun
Abstract: Not only operation
problem in the electric system but also expansion problem of capacity supply to
meet demand in the future that must be handled. This expansion must guarantee
adequacy condition of supply in order to avoid lack of supply although there
is/are one/more unit black out. Adequacy
(of power) of an electric system is determined by loss of load probability
(LOLP) indexes. This indexes has been definite, i.e. national electric company,
PT. PLN, use indexes LOLP 1 day/year. This paper will study adequacy supply in
the future, until 2016, in the
Jawa-Madura-Bali (JAMALI) system based on LOLP indexes by PT. PLN. The result
of study will be compared with the planning supply of PT. PLN that was reported
in RUPTL (global planning of supply) report-book for 2006-2016. The result indicated
that the planning supply of PT. PLN until 2016 is 42431 MW or has LOLP tree
digit before coma. In this study, the calculation based on LOLP 1 day/year
result the added supply as much as 38086 MW until 2016.
Penulis: Hermagasantos Zein
Kode Jurnal: jptlisetrodd080041
