ANALISIS MODEL TIME SERIES DALAM PERAMALAN JARINGAN BASE TRANSCEIVER STATION (BTS) PER PROVIDER DI KOTA PONTIANAK SAMPAI TAHUN 2025
Abstract: The increasing
number of customers and traffic, the network capacity is not enough to meet the
needs of customers. For carriers issues must always evaluate capacity of the
BTS itself, according to customers growth to determine service capability in
the future, then operator should apply the theory of traffic forecasting that
would happen even on the next month. Cell phone network infrastructure planning
requests minimal cultivated hardware issue yet able to meet as much as possible
capacity existing traffic. The vendor in the city of Pontianak until 2015 some
413 vendor consisting of Telkomsel, XL, Indosat and Tri, the number of every
base station owned by vendor of Telkomsel with 127 BTS, as many as 67 BTS of
XL, Indosat about 103 bts and Tri about 116 BTS. A method of time series based
on the assumption that, data has internal structure, as autocorelation, a trend
or seasonal variations. The data which is used to research is taken from
secondary data and it is covering the number of providers in the city of
Pontianak and data population of the 2010 until 2015. And also secondary data
of telecommunications providers in the city of pontianak in the form of
customer and number of BTS. Based on the calculation BTS forecasting needs 4 gsm providers in the
Pontianak city, note that providers Telkomsel to use its in 2010-2014 were 127
its with average construction of around 25 Bts annually increased to 128 BTS
until 2025. The Provider requisite of XL on the use of its in 2010-2014 were 67
Bts with average construction of around 13 BTS annually and it is increasing to
70 BTS until 2025. The requisite of providers Indosat on the use of BTS in
2010-2014 were 103 BTS with average construction of around 21 BTS annually
increased to 105 BTS until 2025. Meanwhile, the provider needs to use BTS Tri
providers in 2010-2014 amounted to 116 base stations with an average of about
23 BTS development increased to 122 base stations per year until 2025. The need
for the network as a whole amounted to 70 base stations BTS and the average
requisite of BTS network in Pontianak among 2015-2025 amounted to 18 base
stations per year. With a significant number of base stations that should be
built every year, otherwise the need for the use of the tower shared
indispensable.
Penulis: Singgih Anggi Purnama
Kode Jurnal: jptlisetrodd160522
